By Michael Angold
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Extra resources for Byzantine Aristocracy (BAR international series)
In a state of paralysis? 37 5. What American policy on Iran? In December 2004, the Washington Post published an editorial entitled: “We need a real Iran policy”. This policy should be defined without delay if the Bush administration does not want to end up like the Carter administration, with a nuclear problem into the bargain. In Europe it is often thought that the Americans are simply waiting for the Europeans to fail before going into action. That is a possibility, but the failure is already there.
So far, Beijing’s support for Tehran has been unwavering, but this does not mean that China is prepared to encourage any form of Iranian venture. Beijing’s interest is rather for the negotiations to drag on indefinitely, without any decision being reached as to whether to act at the Security Council. China has similar ambitions regarding North Korea: prolong the discussions and defer the crisis for as long as possible. Meanwhile, the dream of Iran’s conservatives may well be to follow the Chinese model of combining economic liberalisation and political repression.
Since the end of the 1980s, Tehran’s relentless determination to obtain nuclear equipment and materials from around the world has intrigued more than one European capital. Particularly as the country had such extensive oil and gas reserves, there was no justification for the rush to develop alternative energy sources. Iran’s energy needs were not under threat, even in the long term, and Tehran even had a significant energy export policy, supplying energy to countries like China, India, Pakistan and South Africa.
Byzantine Aristocracy (BAR international series) by Michael Angold