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Extra info for 1980 census of population: Ancestry of the population by state: 1980. supplementary report National Census and Statistics Office, National Economic and Development Authority, Republic of the Philippines, Special Report (Том 1)

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The caterpillar dataset used in this chapter was extracted from a 1973 study on pine processionary1 caterpillars: It assesses the influence of some forest settlement characteristics on the development of caterpillar colonies. (It was published and studied in 1 These caterpillars got their name from their habit of moving over the ground in incredibly long head-to-tail processions when leaving their nest to create a new colony. ) The response variable is the logarithmic transform of the average number of nests of caterpillars per tree in an area of 500 square meters (which corresponds to the last column in caterpillar).

The quantity 1 − α thus corresponds to the probability that a random θ belongs to this set C(D), rather than to the probability that the random set contains the “true” value of θ. 9). This region is called the highest posterior density (HPD) region. 013]. Note that, since 0 does not belong to this interval, one can feel justified in reporting a significant decrease in the number of larcenies between 1991 and 1995. c While the shape of an optimal Bayesian confidence set is easily derived, the computation of either the bound kα or the set C(D) may be too challenging to allow an analytic construction outside conjugate setups.

For instance, which social factors influence unemployment duration and the probability of finding a new job? Which economic indicators are best related to recession occurrences? Which physiological levels are most strongly correlated with aneurysm strokes? From a statistical point of view, the ultimate goal of these analyses is thus to find a proper representation of the conditional distribution, f (y|θ, x), of an observable variable y given a vector of observables x, based on a sample of x and y.

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1980 census of population: Ancestry of the population by state: 1980. supplementary report National Census and Statistics Office, National Economic and Development Authority, Republic of the Philippines, Special Report (Том 1) by United States. Bureau of the Census. Population Division


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